When Kenneth Sokoloff died at 54 last month, of liver cancer,
the economic history profession lost one of its best men,
and the University of California at Los Angeles one of its
brightest stars. Sokoloff had built UCLA's economic history
program into one of the strongest in the nation, sufficient
to persuade a major figure like Dora Costa to forsake the
Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
But death and taxes are not UCLA's only foes (house prices
around the Westwood campus average $1.2 million). The California
system, like other public university systems around the country,
is finding it harder to grow its budget. Last year, in connection
with the epic economics hiring spree at Washington University
in St. Louis, EP
noted that twelve senior UCLA economics faculty had put
themselves on the market in the previous couple of years.
By now eight of them have left: Janet Currie to Columbia,
Carlos Vegh to Maryland, Jean-Laurent Rosenthal to Caltech,
David Levine and Costas Azariadis to Washington U., Harold
Cole to the University of Pennsylvania, V. Joseph Hotz
and Duncan Thomas to Duke. (Enrico Moretti, a fourth-year
assistant professor, was promoted to full professor and still
left for Berkeley; Matthais Doepke is going to Northwestern
next spring.) Professor Kathleen McGarry may leave as well.
That's nearly half -- the vital younger half -- of the complement
of 25 full professors listed on the department Website (not
counting three courtesy appointments of economists from the
business school, Edward Leamer among them, and one from political
science).
Besides Costa (and her husband, Matthew Kahn, an environmental
economist at Tufts University, who has been hired by UCLA's
Institute for the Environment), the only other senior figure
UCLA has attracted in the last three years is econometrician
Rosa Matzkin, from Northwestern University, arriving next
year. This is not for lack of trying.
Those who entertained offers from other universities but
decided to stay are Andrew Atkeson, Moshe Buchinsky, Jinyong
Hahn and Lee Ohanian -- meaning macroeconomics and econometrics
at UCLA are in good shape. Heavy hitters in several other
fields remain -- historian Naomi Lamoreaux, for example. As
always, bright junior faculty abound -- Sandra Black and Daniel
Ackerberg declined offers elsewhere, and Christian Hellwig,
newly tenured, may spurn Columbia's offer. "I am cautiously
optimistic," says John G. Riley, who served as chairman in
the 1980s and again in the 1990s, citing UCLA's opportunity
to invest in younger investigators. "It's not an anxiety
crisis or anything like that. We're not falling apart."
Still, it's a long way from UCLA's former glory, when its
applied microeconomics earned the joke that UCLA stood for
the University of Chicago at Los Angeles. Professors whose
names contributed much to UCLA's luster include Armen Alchian,
Robert Clower, Harold Demsetz, Arnold Harberger, Jack Hirschleifer,
Michael Intriligator, Axel Leijonhufvud, Jacob Marschak and
Lloyd Shapley.
For that matter, it's a long way, too, from the vision staked
out by UCLA's Board of Visitors (a group of wealthy alums,
including Nobel laureate William F. Sharpe), who boldly proclaimed
a couple of years ago that the economics department
"has growing potential to catapult itself into the elite
top five" economics departments in the nation, thereby
"becoming the top economics department within a public
university...." (At least that was the department's
plan back in 2001.)
UCLA ranked 11th in the nation in the last decadal survey
of doctoral programs made by the National Research Council,
behind California's Berkeley campus (7th) and the University
of Minnesota (10th). (Harvard, Chicago, MIT, Stanford and
Princeton were 1st through 5th.) It is hard to imagine
it will fare as well when next survey appears in December.
Something is clearly wrong at UCLA. Some of the problem must
have to do with the university's administration -- but not
all. "Because of the way private university endowments are
managed, they have grown substantially," says Gary Hansen,
the current chairman. State budget appropriations haven't
kept pace.
He's right, of course. Being a good economics department
in a public university has gotten harder. The California system
in particular has seen compensation become a political football.
But Berkeley and San Diego economics haven't lost half their
roster (though Berkeley's department, in particular, is besieged
by offers.) And some outsiders maintain that the situation
at UCLA is not so much a distressing sign of the growing disparity
between public and private universities' funding than it is
the kind of supernova that occasionally occurs in small organizations
when big egos clash.
"UCLA is a mess, no matter what the people you've talked
to have to say about it," says one competitor. "It's
not very much due to their public status, either, but to a
cataclysmic split in the department. One group of true-believers
blocks every appointment that the other group wants to make
and vice versa. I've heard this time after time from
the people there that we've interviewed. Still another
example of people who think they're geniuses acting like pinheads."