One of the most striking features
of the years after the collapse of communism has been the
general lack of interest on the part of Americans, at least,
in what the former communists have to say about their lives,
their experiences, their societies. We make exceptions, of
course, for defectors, those who wholeheartedly adopted our
point of view: most conspicuously, Alexander Solzhenitsyn
(at least for a time). Otherwise, without the full confession
of error, it is assumed that the experience they accumulated
in all those years of living under central planning is of
very little value. No matter who they are, we figure, they
only need to take lessons from us.
There is an obvious exception
to this rule at the moment, of course. It is "The Lives
of Others," a German drama about the corruption of everyday
life by the Stasi secret police in the DDR, the old East Germany. The
film won an Academy Award earlier this year (although even
here a Hollywood remake is being discussed.) Another, considerably
more illuminating testimony is to be found in Janos Kornai's
newly-published memoirs, By Force of Thought: Irregular
Memoirs of an Intellectual Journey.
Kornai is a famous Hungarian
dissenter who, having been hit by the Marxist meatball as
a youth (the phrase is that of R. Crumb, coined to describe
the many similar conversion experiences among the young in
the West of the 1960s), who then broke with the Communist
party, who stayed home after the 1956 Hungarian revolt was
crushed by the Russians, taught himself economics, and managed
to build a formidable reputation among economists in the West
as an expert on the mechanics of socialist systems.
Kornai embraced communism after
the Russian Army chased the Nazis out of his country in 1945.
The Germans had murdered his lawyer father and older brother
the year before. Thus cruelly tumbled from a comfortable haute
bourgeois childhood, the 17-year-old changed his name from Kornhauser
(which sounded German and Jewish); and traded what had been
an "open and flexible" view of the world for a mechanical
Spenglerian mindset, in which "the fresh energy and raw barbaric
force of the communist movement heralded the coming of a new
age."
He joined the Communist Party,
read Das Kapital with a friend, annotating every page, and, in due course,
got a job on what, under the communists, rapidly became the
country's main newspaper. Of Marx, he writes, "The young man
who at 14 to 16 had feverishly sought enlightenment in a hundred
types of reading now found it radiating like sunshine from
those thousand pages."
The newspaper education was a
good one. Kornai rose swiftly, vaulting ahead of more experienced
men (two main criteria governed advancement, he says, Party
loyalty and ability). He worked hard, wrote fluently,
convinced that he had the inside track on history. The death
of Stalin was the crucial watershed; almost immediately, Russia's
new rulers recognized the chaos that Stalinist directives
had produced, called their Hungarian franchisees to Moscow,
and loosened up a bit. "I was not among those who had
suffered in the period before June, and I did not feel the
time had come to breathe a sigh of relief," Kornai writes
of the "New Course" that Hungarian communism sought to adopt
after Stalin's death. But many others did, and in the course
of the next two years, Kornai paid attention to them.
He met an old editor of his paper
who had been imprisoned during a purge in 1951 and beaten
at the direction of a friend with whom Kornai had joined the
Party; after that, he started paying attention to the
number of political prisoners in his little country (40,000
in a nation of ten million in 1953).He read the British journalist
Isaac Deutscher's biography of Stalin, and various Yugoslav
writers on economic topics.(Tito, having been thrown out of
the international Communist party by Stalin, had already begun
to decentralize.) He defied the party boss who told
him to attribute electricity shortages and service cuts to
"objective circumstances" rather than poor state planning.
And then, in October 1954, he
joined a memorable two-day meeting of Party members at his
newspaper at which a couple of dozen staffers endorsed the
"New Course" and openly criticized the regime. Inevitably,
word of the newspaper rebellion leaked out. Other organizations
followed suit. Self-determination was in the air.
Alas, it's hard to loosen by
degrees. The Communist Hungarian government reacted. The first
three rebellious newsmen were fired in December; Kornai and
several others (including his wife) were let go a few months
later, after a humiliating "self-criticism."
"My mental state in those months
was one of disillusionment, bitterness and horror," he writes
in By Force of Thought. "My earlier blind faith was dispelled once and for
all. My eyes had been opened wide to what was happening.
Stomach-turning lies, infamous slanders, hypocritical arguments,
sly use of real and false reports compiled by informers, threats
and blackmail, and mental torture and humiliation of opponents
were among the 'normal' weapons used in Communist factional
fighting. .... I wanted to get as far as I could from this pollution."
Already his first newspaper editor,
his old friend Miklós Gimes, had told him, "Politics
is not for you. You would do better if you became a researcher;
it would suit you better." Kornai earlier had wangled
admission to Budapest's Institute of Economics as a result.
Now he took advantage of it, becoming a full-time student.
From the start, his work as a scholar displayed a strong empirical
bent: countless interviews with managers in light industry.
What were the problems with which they dealt? In little
more than a year, he had written a dissertation: Overcentralization
in Economic Administration.
It contained none of the usual Marxist jargon, just a steady
parade of facts about bottlenecks, plan bargaining, mismatched
incentives of all sorts. Within the Institute, it was well
received -- enough to win Kornai an appointment as a research
fellow, with a salary and a bonus to boot.
But first there would be a public
defense. It was held September 24, 1956 -- barely a month before
the outbreak of the Hungarian revolt against Russian rule.
Word of the event had got around town, naturally; some two
hundred persons showed up for what the cognoscenti described as "a choice political morsel." Newspapers
carried news of the highly favorable debate. No wonder, then,
that Kornai was enlisted a month later to write the economic
section of the speech Imre Nagy would give as new prime minister.
That night Hungarian security police shot unarmed demonstrators
at the state radio station. The next morning he started
to work on a draft.
It was the last time Kornai would
dabble in politics. Ten days later, Soviet tanks rolled into
Budapest. His friend and former editor Gimes, having started
an illicit newspaper (Kornai declined to participate) was
hunted down by police (after hiding for a few days in Kornai's
mother's apartment) and later hanged. So was prime minister
Nagy. Kornai was interrogated repeatedly, though never
tortured. He did not turn on his friend, though he buckled
in small degrees in other situations. (The passages in which
he reconstructs his calculus in these matters are among the
most moving in the book.)
Nor did he take the opportunity
to leave Hungary for the West, as did some 200,000 to 250,000
others, including his closest friend. Instead, between times,
he studied his German edition of Paul Samuelson's Foundation
of Economic Analysis.
As Soviet tanks shut down the city, he had decided both to
remain in Hungary, and to become part of the economics profession
of the West, even while declining to emigrate.
A year later, towards the end
of 1957, blackballed at Budapest's Karl Marx University of
Economics, he was quietly dismissed from his job at the Institute.
That was the nadir. Starting
in 1958, Kornai found jobs that permitted him to carry on
his work, first with the Light Industry Planning Board, then
with the Textile Industry Research Institute. He remarried,
the economist Zsuzsa Dániel, whom he met while he worked on
mathematical models at the National Planning Office. On Oxford
economist John Hicks' recommendation, Overcentralization was translated into English. It appeared in 1959,
to glowing reviews. Who had the nerve to write so candidly
about the Communist world from the inside?
As early as 1958, London School
of Economics professor Ely Devons had invited him to teach
there. Only in 1962 was he permitted to lecture in East Germany,
Poland and Czechoslovakia. Edmund Malinvaud succeeded in winning
him permission to travel to the West -- to England -- in 1963,
where he met Tjalling Koopmans, who would become his long-time
friend. Kenneth Arrow invited him to Stanford in 1968, and
thereafter he was relatively free to work abroad, in Cambridge,
at Yale, Princeton, Stockholm University, the Institute for
Advanced Study in Princeton. But it was not until 1986,
when he accepted an offer from Harvard University that permitted
him to split his time between Cambridge and Budapest, that
he finally became a full professor at a university.
Until then, Kornai had had relatively
few doctoral students of his own, the mathematical frontier
having steadily moved on since he learned linear programming
from Samuelson, Robert Solow and Robert Dorfman's text. But
at last there was time to excavate an idea that had been implicit
in his work for years -- the "soft budget constraint," meaning
the socialist practice of routinely plowing resources into
failing enterprises even when they routinely exceeded their
budgets, year after year (as opposed to the "hard" constraint
of bankruptcy.) Kornai first employed the phrase in 1979,
but not until he acquired a Swedish co-author (and not long
thereafter, a son-in-law), Jörgen Weibull, did the pair undertake
mathematical modeling of what by then they were calling "paternalism."
With Ágnes Matits, a young Hungarian collaborator, Kornai
then sought to empirically document the phenomenon in socialist
economies.
Meanwhile, Richard Quandt at
Princeton had begun formal modeling of the propensity to bail
out failing enterprises -- what he called "the Kornai effect."
Soon Eric Maskin and Mathais Dewatripont at Harvard had cast
the familiar phenomenon of "too big to fail" in game-theoretic
terms. Yet when Kornai sent a literary summary to the American
Economic Review in 1984, it was rejected.
Kyklos, an international journal
noted for publishing original approaches, immediately accepted
it without revision, and at last Kornai had a famous paper,
perhaps the most frequently cited of all his papers.
It is sometimes said that Kornai's
reputation rests on four books. Overcentralization
(1959), Anti-Equilibrium (1971), The Economics of Shortage (1980), and The Socialist System (1992). It is held against him that he failed to foresee
the collapse. "Kornai's tragedy is that by the time he finished
explaining why the socialist system did not work, it had disappeared,"
wrote Robert Skidelsky in the current New York Review
of Books. In fact, The Road to a Free Economy (1990) is in some ways Kornai's best and most important
book, and the real tragedy is that the gradualist approach
to privatization that he advocated in it was almost universally
ignored in Eastern Europe and Russia.
The patching and darning of socialism
had to end, wrote Kornai. There could be no more wistful
longing for "a third way." Socialist economies would
have to change completely. But the accelerated privatization
schemes of Western reformers were misguided, he argued. Vouchers,
mutual fund distributions and other "big-bang" schemes conveyed
the impression "that Daddy state has unexpectedly passed away
and left us, his orphaned children, to distribute the patrimony
equitably.... The point is not to hand out the property, but
rather to place it into the hands of a really better owner."
In the end, Hungary preferred
the slow sequence of events recommended by the book, while
Russia tried to convert to democracy and capitalism overnight.
The rest is history.
Kornai was in Cambridge, Mass.,
last week in connection with the publication of his book.
At one point, he gave a seminar to a circle of old friends.
Here is how his old friend (and fellow Hungarian), Harvard
economist Francis Bator concluded his introductory remarks:
"Some might think a blemish Kornai's
choice, as he puts it in the book, 'not [to] indulge in heroic,
illegal forms of struggle against the communist system...[instead]
to contribute to renewal through...scholarly activity.'
Not so. If you want your bold ideas to affect the real world,
you have sometimes to restrain your impulse to be bold. It
is the courageous tradeoff of a quintessentially autonomous
man."