A new online Internet news magazine
has appeared, covering 22 Asian nations from Afghanistan to
Japan. It fills the void left by the demise of the Far
Eastern Economic Review
and Asiaweek, and gives further evidence of the capacity of the
World Wide Web to add to the spectrum of high-quality news.
Among the editors of AsiaSentinel
are Philip Bowring, the former editor of the Far Eastern
Economic Review; A. Lin Neumann, former executive editor of the Hong
Kong Standard; and John
Berthelsen, a former correspondent with Newsweek
and the Asian Wall Street Journal
and most recently managing editor of the Standard.
A recent issue carried a knowledgeable
piece
about Milton Friedman's romantic view of Hong Kong. The great
economist and his wife touted the former British colony's
devotion to laissez-faire principles in their 1980 documentary
series, Free to Choose.
Wrote the Sentinel's
correspondent, "So determined was Friedman to defend
his rosy version of Hong Kong's economy, which he attributed
to its 1960s Financial Secretary John Cowperthwaite, that
just weeks before his death he claimed to be seeing state
intervention such that the former city-state, now part of
China, 'would no longer be such a shining example of economic
freedom.'"
But Friedman routinely overlooked
three key facts about the city in the years of its rapid growth:
as much 50 percent of its housing receives a substantial government
subsidy; its citizens enjoy almost free medical treatment
at government clinics and hospitals; and the cost of its defense
has been borne entirely by the United Kingdom and now China.
Mark these services to their market prices, said the Sentinel,
and the famously low share of government spending in GDP climbs
sharply.
* * *
Stanford University economist
Paul Romer has sold Aplia, Inc., the educational
software company he founded in 2000, to Thomson Learning,
a division of Thomson Corp. Terms of the deal
were not disclosed.
Aplia's principal innovation
has been to create Web-based subscription software that makes
economics homework, including online experiments, easy to
create, deliver and grade. Designed to support introductory
economics texts of all sorts, the company's systems were quickly
adopted by most leading publishers of economics textbooks,
including Thomson (N. Gregory Mankiw), Holtzbrinck (Paul Krugman/Robin
Wells) and McGraw-Hill (Benjamin Bernanke/Robert Frank, Campbell
McConnell/Stanley Brue, Paul Samuelson/William Nordhaus).
Among major international publishers, only Pearson (Karl Case/Ray
Fair, Michael Parkin) held out in the interest of developing
its own platform.
Rapid development of new course
material required ever-more investment, however, and Romer
opted to sell out to a much larger company (one whose business
in electronic platforms has been conspicuously lagging) in
an industry that is on the verge of a major restructuring.
He told
instructors that he would "continue to play an integral
role in leading and advising the company."
Whether Thomson can manage to
continue to sell the Aplia platform to rival publishers remains
to be seen, but then, so does the future of Thomson Learning
itself. Its privately-held Canadian corporate parent, a provider
of scientific, legal and financial data, indicated last autumn
that it planned to sell the educational unit, which is valued
at around $5 billion. In November, Houghton Mifflin was sold
by its private equity owners to Riverdeep, an Irish educational
software group, for $4.5 billion.
College publishing, preparing
to subordinate print publishing to electronic services, is
entering the computer age.
* * *
Readers of Dava Sobel's 1996
best-seller Longitude:
The True Story of a Lone Genius Who Solved the Greatest Scientific
Problem of His Time know all about the power of credible
and well-advertised prizes to galvanize inventors to devise
a solution to a thorny problem.
Plagued by its inability to accurately
reckon longitude at sea, the British government, through an
act of Parliament in 1714, promised a prize of £20,000 (an
enormous sum in those days) to anyone who could provide measurement
of longitude accurate to within half a degree. Clockmaker
John Harrison invented the necessary sea-going timepiece (no
pendulum clock could work), only to be nearly stiffed for
the prize by a jealous competitor with a rival method), and
New York Times reporter Sobel turned the story into a thrilling
tale.
Earlier this month, a consortium
of five nations and the Gates Foundation created a modern
counterpart of the longitude prize -- a more sophisticated
version known as an Advanced Market Commitment (AMC) propounded
for years by economist Michael Kremer, of Harvard University
and the Brookings Institution, and his wife, Rachel Glennerster,
and developed analytically in their 2004 book Strong
Medicine: Creating Incentives for Pharmaceutical Research
on Neglected Diseases. The idea is to provide a guaranteed
market for new vaccines against pneumococcal diseases tailored
to the world's poorest countries, where pneumonia and meningitis
kill around 2 million people a year, 1.6 million of them children.
Representatives of Canada, Italy,
Norway, Russia, the United Kingdom and the Gates Foundation,
meeting in Rome, signed off on a $1.5 billion protocol that
represents a legally-binding commitment to purchase vaccines
that met predetermined standards of efficacy and safety in
the nations where they will be used. Any number of peoples
worked hard to bring the program about; some of them are listed
on a Center for Global Development blog
that gives a sense of the amount of the painstaking committee
work by lawyers, doctors and diplomats that was required.
But if you want to really understand
why the development of the AMCs are such welcome news, hit
the video button in the menu bar at the top of this page
and witness an unusually powerful argument.
* * *
Those who enjoy a good financial
mystery story will want to turn to Stansky's
Monster: A Critical Examination of Fidelity Magellan's "Frankenfund,"
a working paper by Ross Miller of the State University of
New York at Albany Business School and Miller Risk Advisers,
which has just appeared on the Social Science Research Network.
The broad outlines of the
famous fund's lackluster performance since Peter Lynch turned
it over to Jeff Vinik in 1992 are well known. Lynch had his
"tenbagger" stocks, companies whose share price rose dramatically
in the bull market of the 1980s. Vinik had his one really,
truly, memorably bad year -- 1996, when he put a quarter of
the funds assets into bonds, just as the stock market took
off into the Internet craze.
But what about Robert Stansky,
who took over from Vinik in the middle of 1996? For the first
several years of Stansky's stewardship, the enormous Magellan
Fund was widely thought to have become a "closet index fund"
-- that is, an actively managed fund that nevertheless tracked
closely the performance of the market as a whole.
Then, suddenly, in late 2002
the thing went haywire, dramatically underperforming the S&P
500, rising just 2.55 percent in a period when the broader
market (as measured by the Vanguard Institutional Index Fund)
rose 11.53 percent. Stansky rant RAN the fund until October
2005, when he was abruptly shown the door.
What happened? Miller has his
suspicions. Not to spoil a thumping good ending, I will only
say that, even though he argues that if the active component
of Magellan's holding were considered as a stand-alone market
neutral investment its investors would have lost at least
50 percent of their money between 2002 and 2004. The
bulk of that loss, which is four times greater than the worst
comparable hedge fund, cannot be accounted for by any combination
of Magellan's stated expenses, portfolio turnover, investment
style, industry selections, or stock picks. So where did those
billions go?
You can wait for The Wall
Street Journal to bring you up to date on "factor-model arbitrage"
and discover who may have picked the unwitting Magellan's
pockets. Or you can read Ross Miller's lucid and amusing (and
important) detective story for yourself.