We take for granted now so much of what is
new: personal computers and cell phones, communications satellites
and microwave towers, music file-sharing and cable television,
copiers and scanners of all sorts, designer molecules and
genomic medicine. All involve elements, large and small, for
which the fixed cost of development is high, but the cost
of an extra copy is negligible.
Nor do we have any difficulty analyzing the
markets for these things (no more than the ordinary difficulty,
that is: all markets have their secrets).
Every introductory economics text now explains
the difference between rival and nonrival goods, based on
their degree of excludability.
A rival good can be possessed by only one
person at a time: a hamburger, a bank account, a college degree.
A nonrival good is one whose consumption by one person doesn’t
diminish its availability for others: a movie, say, or computer
software or the formula for a wonder drug. Inevitably, a technology
is involved. Nonrival
goods have to do with secrets, knowledge and intellectual
property. Atoms are rival. Bits (meaning anything that can
be written down, or stored as a bit string in a computer,
and widely shared) are not -- not unless they can be
pinned down by a property right, even one as insubstantial
as a secret password.
There was, however, a time when this terminology
was unknown. Until fairly recently, economists spoke only
of public goods and private goods and, sometimes, goods that
were “impure” or “mixed” or “ambiguous.”
The rival/nonrival distinction apparently
was introduced by Harvard University economist Richard Musgrave
in the course of a wonderful conference in Biarritz, on the
Basque coast of France, in 1966.
The story of how this distinction emerged,
and then became central to economics, in two distinct steps
over 25 years, is highly interesting.
It is one of those fundamental discontinuities in its
history that economics, like any other science, prefers to
disguise, in order to present itself as having built its understanding
of the world through the relatively routine mopping-up, puzzle-solving
activity that the historian Thomas Kuhn called “normal” science,
one fact after another, or, as scientists themselves often
describe it, “brick by brick.” (Most readers will prefer to
skim along, confident that they will see the point by the
end.)
A little background: it was Paul Samuelson
who, in 1954, in a three-page mathematical note, established
the modern approach to optimal public finance. (How
and why it happened as it did is a charming story. Samuelson was working from a literary
exposition by Musgrave, and he later reckoned that his translation,
synthesizing the “benefit” and “ability to pay” approaches
to taxation, had cost his old friend a Nobel Prize.)
For simplicity’s sake, Samuelson wrote, he
would posit just two sorts of goods in the world: completely
divisible private consumption goods, which could be parceled
out to different individuals, and indivisible “collective
consumption goods… which all enjoy in common in the sense
that each individual’s consumption of such a good leads to
no subtraction of any other individual’s consumption of the
good….” Having divided all spending into two sectors, Samuelson
then described with just three equations a theoretical “best
state of the world” in which some goods were individually
priced and others were paid for by taxes.
The trouble with the social economy, Samuelson
then stated, was that by departing from, say, the Golden Rule,
"any one person can hope to snatch some selfish benefit
in a way not possible under the self-policing competitive
pricing of private goods..." The worldly Sen. Russell
Long would put it slightly differently a few years later:
"Don't tax you, don't tax me -- tax that fellow behind
the tree."
Samuelson’s formulation conquered technical
economics, especially after he quickly followed up with a
diagrammatic exposition of the theory (whose roots, he noted,
had been adduced by Italian, Austrian and Scandinavian writers
of the previous 75 years), and, in 1958, a third note, a demolition
of all that had been left standing of A.C. Pigou, the authority
on public finance for an earlier generation whom Musgrave
now replaced. A certain amount of controversy remained, however,
as economists sought to fill in the gap between Samuelson’s
polar cases.
Kenneth Arrow adopted the convention and
extended it in 1960 to describe the production of knowledge
as a public good. There were three basic reasons that pure
competition would produce too little new knowledge, wrote
Arrow: because inventing is risky, because breakthroughs could
be appropriated only to a limited extent, and because new
knowledge can (and should) be used again and again without
cost to make more new inventions (meaning there would be falling
costs, or increasing returns).
For all these reasons, markets would fail to achieve
the best possible outcome, and governments would have to take
a hand, at least, in higher education and basic research.
In 1963, a contumacious argument about subscription
television erupted.
Jora Minasian, of the State University of New York
at Buffalo accused Samuelson of opposing pay-TV. Explained
Samuelson in his rejoinder, the analytic problem was one of
increasing returns. (“Being able to limit a public good’s
consumption does not make it a true-blue private good.
For what, after all, are the true marginal costs of
having one extra family tune in on the program? They are literally
zero.”) The episode provoked one of the very few displays
of temper on the record from that most equable man. (“My remarks
have been scandalously misinterpreted,” Samuelson replied.)
In
1964, Mancur Olson, in The Logic of Collective Action,
raised interesting new questions about the definition of public
goods, given the predictable behavior of special interest
groups. Then in 1965, James Buchanan, seeking to narrow the chasm between
perfectly public and perfectly private, contributed a theory
of “club” goods, which turned out to have much to say about
congestion.
It was against this backdrop, the International
Economic Association in 1966 convened a meeting in the grand
old resort town of Biarritz, in collaboration with the French
Centre de la Recherche Scientifique. The idea was that the
Old Guard of the continent would meet and feel out the leading
economic scholars of the New World (including Samuelson, Arrow
and Robert Dorfman), on carefully demarcated
grounds, in a splendid old Second Empire relic on the
strand, the Hotel Regina. The continental scholars, many of
them historians and philosophers of law and economics, called
their portion of the meeting “Analysis of the Public Economy.”
The economists called theirs, “The Public Economy and Its
Relation to the Private Sector.”
Musgrave himself was something of a mediator
between the camps. Born
in Germany in 1910, he studied in Munich and Heidelberg before
traveling, in 1933, to the University of Rochester, and the
next year, to Harvard, where he soon met Samuelson and a host
of other bright young men. His familiarity with the Continental
literature made him a invaluable contributor to the discussion;
his youth enabled him to learn the new, more formal language,
mostly mathematical, which economics was adopting as its own.
“The
theory of social goods deals with the features which distinguish
social from private goods,” began Musgrave’s 1966 paper in
Biarritz. The optimal provision of the polar case had been
thought through carefully enough, he said: but its application
to an important range of mixed goods, goods whose provision
required group action, “remains
to be explored.” What distinguished these goods? Two relevant
and interesting characteristics, Musgrave explained:
the first was “nonrivalness in consumption,” meaning
the existence of “a beneficial consumption externality.” The
second characteristic was “non-excludability from consumption.”
(Among the discussants, Stephen Marglin,
then a young assistant professor at Harvard, wondered if the
problem wasn’t really one of capital theory. After all, many
of the cases Musgrave was talking about involved indivisibilities
and increasing returns. His ability to enjoy film, for example,
depended on the willingness of others to attend cinema and
so cover between them the major part of the capital cost of
providing the performance.)
Musgrave’s paper was published in 1969, the
discussion was scrupulously recorded by a rapporteur, along
with the rest of the conference proceedings, in Public
Production: An Analysis of Public Production and Consumption
and their Relations to the Private Sectors, edited by Julius Margolis, of Harvard, and H. Guitton,
of the University of Paris, the professors who had organized
the meeting. Its distinctions, including a little matrix opposing exclusion on one axis against rivalry and nonrivalry
on another, became part of Public Finance in Theory
and Practice, a new text
by Richard and Peggy Musgrave which appeared in 1973.
Meanwhile, the controversies had continued:
in 1969, the English economist E.J. Mishan provoked a flurry
of comments when he distinguished among joint products, collective
goods and external effects in the Journal of Political
Economy, while John Head
and Carl Shoup cast the matter in terms of “cost of pricing”
in the Economic Journal.
By 1973, Morton Kamien, Nancy Schwartz and John Roberts had clarified
the debate over degrees of “publicness” of various goods by
sorting out consumption and production approaches to the problem.
Then in 1974, Ronald Coase threw an empirical
bombshell into the debate when he noted that lighthouses around
the British Isles, textbook writers’ traditional example of
“public” good, one requiring government provision, traditionally
had been privately provided. As late as 1979, in “On the Public
Character of Goods,” with William Loehr, the up-and-coming
Todd Sandler was still wrestling with complicated three-dimensional
spectrums and taxonomies that displayed the conventional apparatus
of indivisibility and appropriability.
By the first edition of Sandler’s text (with
David Cornes in 1986), however, the index entry for “indivisibility
of benefits” read “see nonrivalry of benefits.” One of economics’ most confusing
terms had been quietly replaced. And it wasn’t until economist
Paul Romer, then of the University of Chicago, now at Stanford’s
Graduate School of Business, pulled the distinction out of
Sandler’s text and plugged it into growth theory to describe
the special characteristics of knowledge as a factor of production
that “nonrival, partially excludable” (to describe intellectual
property) became part of the lingua franca of research
economics and, thereafter, began slowly making its way into
the texts.
True to their traditions, though, most authors
behaved as if the distinction had been available to them all
along. Indeed, though still quite sharp on the eve of his
96th birthday, Musgrave himself last autumn no longer remembered
a time when he didn’t have the use of the term. Textbooks might have to be rewritten after
each scientific revolution -- and the emergence of the
new economics of knowledge probably is a genuine scientific
revolution -- but that doesn’t mean that textbook authors
won’t contend that they knew it all along. As historian of
science Kuhn pointed out fifty years ago, it is in the nature
of textbooks that they should do so.
(Frances Woolley of Carleton University has
argued to
good effect for dropping public goods from the undergraduate
curriculum altogether, in order to concentrate on the underlying
issues of exclusion, rivalry and public finance/provision.
Public goods, she says are “a pedagogical bad.”)
Richard Musgrave died last week at home in
Santa Cruz, California, much loved and honored. There will
be the usual memorial service in the church in Harvard Yard
later this year. He’ll be remembered as an exemplary scholar,
teacher, mentor, friend, a man of sterling character.
But Musgrave was also a powerful innovator,
who taught economists to ask new questions and draw new conclusions
from old data. It would be a very useful contribution to the
history of thought if those who were there at Biarritz in
1966 -- Samuelson, Arrow, Marglin, Amartya Sen, Edmond
Malinvaud, Serge-Christophe Kolm, Larry Westphal -- as
well as those most affected by the goings-on (Buchanan) would
plumb their memories and write down their recollections of
what happened there and in all the years thereafter in public
economics. It would be more than a fitting memorial. It would yield a rewarding glimpse
of economic science going forward.
Penetrating new distinctions such as that
between atoms and bits don’t come along very often.