The National Bureau of Economic Research held its 21st Annual
Conference on Macroeconomics last week in Cambridge. The question
of why Europeans work so much less than Americans once again
held center-stage. The emphasis this time was on new ways
of investigating the interplay between European tax rates
and generous social insurance programs.
There are highly interesting questions here, but they are
a long way from clarity, much less resolution. Meanwhile,
slow growth and high joblessness prevail in most of Europe;
while in the United States, the rat-race continues apace.
So instead of going to most of the sessions, I did the European
thing. I spent a couple of days reading Jeffry Frieden's new
book, Global
Capitalism: Its Fall and Rise in the Twentieth Century.
There are certain history books that just catch on, because
of their character. Frederick Lewis Allen's Only
Yesterday: An Informal History of the 1920s was one of
these. Paul Johnson's Modern
Times: the World from the Twenties to the Nineties was
another. Thirty-three years after it was completed, Daniel
Boorstin's trilogy The
Americans remains an exhilarating experience.
Frieden's book has many of the same qualities as those books;
I hope that it, too, will attract a wide audience. Many
other new books bear directly on the situation that obtains
today in Europe. Among them are Tony Judt's Postwar:
A History of Europe since 1945, John Lewis Gaddis's The
Cold War: a New History and Michael Burleigh's exploration
of the endlessly fascinating "long" nineteenth century
Earthly
Powers: The Clash of Religion and Politics from the French
Revolution to the Great War. Burleigh in particular highlights
the chasm that exists between the European and American experiences.
But it's Frieden's book that juxtaposes Belgium's King Leopold
with Germany's Hjalmar Horace Greeley Schacht, France's Jean
Monnet and the United States' Paul Volcker to produce an economic
history of the twentieth century that makes the whole thing
come alive.
It was, for example, Leopold who in the 1870s began bankrolling
explorers of Africa in hopes of establishing a colony for
one of Europe's least prepossessing military powers.
On the strength of Henry Stanley's expeditions, he persuaded
his fellow sovereigns to recognize his claim to the Congo
basin, an area as large as Western Europe. (The former Belgian
Congo, later known as Zaire, is today the Democratic Republic
of Congo. The former French region along the west bank of
the river, including Brazzaville, has become the Republic
of the Congo.) He then created a rubber-gathering industry
that became one of the most brutal exploitation schemes in
modern history. The whole horrifying story was told by Adam
Hochschild in King
Leopold's Ghost: a Story of Greed, Terror and Heroism in Colonial
Africa. Frieden describes it as part of an even-handed
survey of colonialism: "With the exception of cases
of outright Leopoldian looting and privileged settler colonies,
colonialism was not usually an insurmountable obstacle to
economic development."
Or take Schacht, the practitioner who invented the economics
that powered first Germany, then the Soviet Union. He was
born in 1877, to parents recently returned to Germany from
New York. They named him Hjalmar Horace Greeley after
the New York newspaper editor and presidential candidate who
had published Karl Marx's dispatches from London. Schacht
studied political economy before going to work first for the
Dresdner Bank, then the Danatbank. It was he who, in
1923, as commissioner for national currency, proclaimed the
Rentenmark, and so ended the great German hyperinflation.
Eight years later he backed Adolf Hitler for chancellor and
became economic czar when the Nazis came to power.
With the rest of the world mired in depression, Schacht ended
unemployment in three years, with no inflation despite large
budget deficits (nearly 5 percent of GNP!): "Inflation
is a lack of discipline," explained Hitler; "I'll see to it
that prices remain stable." (Concentration camps were the
key.) Schachtian economics kept as much German money as possible
in Germany, and otherwise built a system of satellites with
differential exchange rates: Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, Yugoslavia,
Greece and Turkey. By 1937 the Nazis no longer needed
him; German rearmament was an accomplished fact. ("Der Führer
has fired the Schacht heard round the world," wrote Time magazine.)
He participated in several plots against Hitler, survived
Dachau, was one of three original defendants acquitted at
Nuremberg, and lived quietly in Munich until 1970.
Jean Monnet, born in 1888, traveled widely as a young man
representing his family's cooperative in Cognac, France --
from the Yukon to rural Egypt, developing a first-hand experience
of globalization. During the 1920s, he was one of Wall
Street's men in Europe (Blair and Co.); he consulted widely
around he world throughout the 1930s. World War II found him
in Washington, coordinating aid to the French and British.
In the years after the war, he created the European Coal and
Steel Community, precursor to the Common Market and the European
Community. More than any other, Monnet was the architect of
European unity.
And Paul Volcker was, of course, the man to whom President
Jimmy Carter turned in 1979 to administer a "counter-shock"
to a world economy increasingly spinning out of control.
Volcker "could not get Cuban troops out of Angola or restore
labor peace to Britain," writes Frieden. "But he calmed financial
markets by changing the tenor of economic policy in the United
States." Within weeks of taking office, he committed the US
central bank to doing whatever was necessary to bring inflation
under control; within years, oil prices began a spectacular
fall; by the 1990s, interest rates were lower than they had
been in sixty years. Meanwhile the global economy boomed.
Harvard government professor Frieden moves easily from East
to West, from North to South, from the industrial democracies
to the many varieties of socialism as he spins the story of
a world increasingly knit together by trade: "Markets,
not monarchs, were the dominant force." He never stints
on the institutions that were necessary to produce the miracle:
from the clanking machinery of the gold standard to Bretton
Woods, from autarky and import-substituting industrialization
to the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade and the new
macroeconomics of currency flows among open economies. And
yet his account moves along almost effortlessly, from one
set of triumphs and disasters to the next, emphasizing the
technological developments that eventually bring the entire
world together in a market in which the "three scariest words"
are "the China price" -- the cost of manufacturing in a country
where wages average $25 a week.
Frieden ends his book with an account of the surprising demonstrations
that erupted when ministers of the World Trade Organization
countries gathered in Seattle in 1999 -- thousands of protesters
unexpectedly taking to the streets to disrupt the meetings.
Since that "Battle in Seattle," it has become a commonplace
that global capitalism is troubled -- that a gap exists between
international markets and national politics, and that the
very success of the economic enterprise poses a threat to
the global climate
He notes, "The international economy has enabled countries
to develop, alleviate poverty, improve social conditions,
lengthen life spans, and carry out social and political reform.
The best hope for the impoverished masses of Asia and Africa
is to gain access to the opportunities the world economy has
to offer." To his credit, he draws not just one moral
but two. Economies work best when they are open to the world.
And open economies work even better when their governments
address the sources of dissatisfaction with global capitalism
-- as politicians in Paris and Washington, to name only the
most obvious, are having to find out.