This week marks the beginning of Economic Principals's fifth
year as a Web-based weekly. Its online incarnation appeared
seven weeks after The Boston Globe unexpectedly closed down
the newspaper column. I was able to continue covering economics
thanks to Laughing Squid, Dreamweaver and a great deal of
help from a pair of friends. Richard
Harrington designed and maintains the EP site, and Mark
Feeney is the weekly's first reader.
EP thereby entered an ambiguous journalistic space in which
it since has been joined by a great many others, some of them
just starting out, others veterans in the same predicament
as me -- Gary Becker, for example.
Alone among the five Business Week columnists who lost their space when the magazine's long-running
"Economic Viewpoint" shut down (the others were Robert Barro,
Laura Tyson, Robert Kuttner and Jeffery Garten), Becker moved
to the Web, even persuading his friend and neighbor US
Appellate Judge Richard Posner to join him with a posting
of his own.
Business Week was preparing to change top editors when the
University of Chicago professor and Nobel laureate stepped
down in 2004. He was 74 years old; he had written his
column for 19 years. There was nothing unfriendly
about the decision; indeed, editor-in-chief Stephen B. Shepard
wrote a moving farewell.
But Becker posseses one of the most vital temperaments in
all of economics. He kept on writing, he says, because
he had acquired an audience, enjoyed the interaction with
them, and still had something to say. He calls it a blog,
but it's really an interactive weekly,
the outlines of the old column clearly visible every Sunday, at
least until the next day when two friends post their responses
to their mail.
Newspapers and magazines themselves were entering a period
of change when EP quit to write online. The neologism "blog"
(from Web log) was not yet widely known in early 2002.Then
the technology improved dramatically (it was mostly software),
so that today nearly
three million citizens around the world possess vehicles
of personal expression whose contents are easily and sometimes
quickly and quite widely shared (around 2 million of them
in English). Hence the blogosphere, an intricate, universal
and easily-paused talk show which now has joined newspapers,
magazines, wires services, newsletters, television and radio
networks, both as a source of news and a means of disseminating
it.
Things will never be the same again, it is said. True enough.
They will, however, be nearly
the same, only more so. More competitive, that is.
The conventional wisdom is that newspapers are somehow finished.
The Web has turned out to be a powerful advertising medium,
thanks mainly to the way that search engines themselves attract
traffic and direct it to high impact locations, large and
small. The blogosphere thus is causing a further hemorrhage
of the great stream of advertising revenue that once had flowed
to newspapers in the glory days before radio and television.
It was leaking badly enough already: to give-away newspapers;
to direct mail; to cell phones; to product placements in movies;
to plasma screens in elevators.
Since the Internet bubble collapsed (and with it a windfall
in advertising), newspaper editors have experimented with
their mix, sometimes desperately, writing off old audience
segments and courting new ones. (The positioning of Doonesbury
within a newspaper is a great indicator of what group is being
played to.) The results have not been encouraging. Readership,
at least of the printed product, has continued in most cases
to decline.
Newspapers' predicament became more evident last week with
sale of the Knight-Ridder newspaper chain to the McClatchy
Company. McClatchy, a well-managed one-time family company
whose flagship newspaper is the Sacramento Bee,
promptly announced that it would keep 20 of the papers it
had bought, including the Miami Herald and the Charlotte Observer, but that it would put another dozen on the block.
Among them are two especially influential newspapers, The
Philadelphia Inquirer and the San Jose Mercury News, which serves California's Silicon Valley.
This argument that newspapers are on the ropes misses two
key points: the scarcity value of print, and the importance
of management.
Old advantages die hard. For many of the same reasons
that historic cities remain in places for thousands of years
-- Paris, London, Rome, Jerusalem and New York are still where
they started -- newspapers are likely to remain at the top
of the chain that creates and distributes provisional truth
and sets the agenda. Because paper and ink are tangible and
endure, newspapers are archived, in libraries, on microfilm
and in servers; they cannot be changed with a few keystrokes.
Because the eye assimilates information much more rapidly
than does the ear, newspapers contain much more information
than do broadcasts. They hire better people, give them more
time to work, offer their readers more durable and satisfying
explanations of eventss than do their electronic brethren.
Just as newspapers met the challenges of radio and television,
they'll accommodate to the Internet, too, and so remain our
most powerful engines of consensus. They'll be smaller, in
the future, fewer in number, nimbler, quicker than they were
before. Instead of the jumbo jet beloved of city room metaphor,
they'll be more like the 737s, 767s and 777s (and, soon enough,
the 787s) jets that have replaced the lumbering old behemoths
on the forward edge. They'll be more expensive, too, and read
by fewer people -- a badge of honor (or an article of conspicuous
consumption), a status good, a sign that the reader matters.
They'll also be more locally owned, at least in the nation's
most vital cities. The problem today is the way the industry
has been organized historically, not with newspapers themselves.
In their heyday, newspapers were relatively easy to operate.
Chains could buy out tired owners of local papers and expect
to carry on pretty much as before. Not any more. The
selectivity of the McClatchy Company in deciding what to keep
and what to sell is a sign of things to come. It seems to
me highly unlikely that cities such as Philadelphia and San
Jose, or, for that matter, Boston and Los Angeles, are going
to remain for long without vigorous independent and locally
owned newspapers to cover them. Continuing to wilt under inept
management is the alternative. It simply defies the logic
of cities that the Chicago Tribune
should own the Los Angeles Times,
or The New York Times should own The Boston Globe. Newspapers in powerful cities should be locally owned
by persons, typically families, involved in their hometown's
affairs. Otherwise, they wilt.
In this, as in much else, The Washington Post, the all-around
healthiest paper in the country, has shown the way. More than
30 years ago the Post bought the Trenton Times,
only to have the paper all but blow up in its face. They sold
it in 1983, bought a prosperous educational services
company instead (Kaplan, Inc.)and hardly anything of note
since (except, last year, the e-zine Slate). Running
a newspaper is harder than it looks. If you buy one and don't
run it well, people laugh at you -- and worse. The Times,
for example, is coming under pressure from its bond rating
agencies. It seems only a matter of time until it sells the
Globe.
Certainly there is plenty of demand in the marketplace for
national papers -- the Times,
The Wall Street Journal,
USA Today, The Financial Times are indispensable institutions, quite literally a fourth
branch of government. They will be around for centuries, if
their owners don't plunge off cliffs pursuing their multiplatform
futures. Certainly newspapers of the future are going to be
inter-modal -- that is to say they will take full advantage
of the Web to serve and enlist their readers.
(For a state-of-the art example of the possibilities, take
a look Wicked
Local, a network of hyper-local websites that rolled out
last week, created by Massachusetts' Enterprise NewsMedia
to combine content from the company's two newspapers south
of Boston -- the Quincy Patriot-Ledger and the Brockton Enterprise
-- with stories from its readers and a powerful local
search engine, in this particular case, for the original
American city of Plymouth.
In the meantime, however, the new technology of the Web permits
new forms to evolve that promise to strengthen local institutions.
A case in point is Christopher Lydon, a former newspaperman
who for thirty years has filled the niche in Boston broadcast
journalism that was established by the sainted Louis Lyons,
longtime curator of the Nieman Foundation for journalists
at Harvard University, whose nightly radio news broadcast
was a fixture of Boston life in the age of John F. Kennedy.
Shut down after a belly-bumping contest in 2002 with the station
manager at Boston University's WBUR, Lydon has returned to
radio on rival station WGBH with a one-hour nightly program
called Open Source.
Thanks to Public Radio International, a connection with the
University of Massachusetts at Lowell, foundation backing,
an ingenious Web-page and his loyal producer, Mary McGrath,
Lydon now is carried by more than a dozen stations around
the country. Boston Herald columnist Howie Carr has
become the dominant voice in Boston talk radio, Tom Ashbrook
has taken over Lydon's old job, former Globe columnist Mike
Barnicle has a mellow morning talk show. But it is Lydon who
is rapidly becoming the voice of Radio Boston around the world.
Even Economic Principals has become relatively well established,
regularly reaching around 20,000 readers in a hundred countries
around the world, closing in on its 200th email
subscription, on its way to the 500 or so subscriptions
that it seeks to remain an active presence on the Web, happy
to be part of a very exciting time in journalism. It still
feels like going over the falls in a barrel.
But the workday still is much the same as it ever was.
It begins with flipping through four newspapers and scanning
the Websites of another four. Then a couple of blogs,
an e-zine, a thoughtfully-edited agglomerator or two, the
NPR and BBC radio newscasts, and finally the email, postal
service and phone messages. By 9 o'clock EP is ready
to go to work -- on stories that are making their way, slowly,
surely, up the chain of explanation towards newsprint.