Anyone who hasn't read The
Fly Swatter: How My Grandfather Made His Way in the World,
Nicholas Dawidoff's account of the life of Alexander Gerschenkron,
the great 20th-century scholar of economic development, is
missing a good thing.
Anyone who doesn't know about Daron Acemoglu is missing a
good thing, too.
There will be many fewer of the latter now, since Acemoglu
last week was named winner of the John Bates Clark Medal,
awarded every two years to the American economist under 40
judged to have made the greatest contribution to economics.
Acemoglu is the man who, for all practical purposes, has become
the Gerschenkron of present-day economics.
The process by which this succession of scholarship takes
place was described a few years ago by David Kreps (himself
a Clark medalist in 1989) in an article, "Economics -- the
Current Position," in Daedalus, the journal of the American
Academy of Arts and Sciences.
For the hundred years or so before World War II, wrote Kreps,
economics had been a decentralized discipline, organized around
a common core but with many topical concerns --labor markets,
international trade, industrial organization, money and banking,
public finance, development and so on. These shared
a certain amount of vocabulary, but otherwise concentrated
mainly on developing typologies and describing institutions.
"There were, if you will, a number of regional dialects of
'Economese,' dialects that were close to being distinct languages,"
he wrote.
Mathematization conquered the core of economics in the years
before, during and after World War II. Then, both because
of the power of formal reasoning and the prestige they conferred,
those who espoused formal methods tackled the applied fields,
one after the other. The mathematizers were not welcomed like
so many liberators; acceptance was often grudging.
Moreover, as mathematical technique was brought to bear,
a reduction in detail took place. New insights were more easily
transferred from field to field; new tools could be deployed
quickly. But the study of institutions, which before mathematization
had loomed so large, gradually was eclipsed.
"The new dominant dialect of mathematical economics lacked
some topically important vocabulary," wrote Kreps; "rather
than speak in an unfashionable dialect, some things were just
not discussed."
Hence the image of an hourglass that had been suggested by
his colleague Paul Romer, with the scope or breadth of topical
economics (on the horizontal axis), plotted against time
(on the vertical axis). As the language of economics is unified,
a dramatic narrowing of topical concerns takes place -- followed
in turn by a commensurate widening, as speakers of the language
learn to tackle topics that they had been temporarily unable
to address. Kreps ventured in 1997, "[T]he field now seems
to be returning to something like the breadth of the
discipline before World War II."
Dawidoff's book about his grandfather chronicles the life
of a scholar lived in the first half of the hourglass -- the
period of the narrowing of the subject. It is difficult to
exaggerate the merits of his tale. His previous book, about
one-time major-leaguer Moe Berg, The
Catcher was a Spy, exhibits the same story-telling grace
and sympathy, but here Dawidoff is writing about an altogether
bigger man, and his grandfather, to boot.
"My grandfather was said to know all about everything," he
writes. "German historiography, the emigration theory in Romanian
history, the complexities of infinitely divisible time. He
understood Kant, Chekhov, Aristotle and Schopenhauer better
than people teaching them at Harvard for a living, and had
once critiqued Vladimir Nabokov with such brio that the novelist
retaliated by lampooning him in his next book.
"Even his vacations were erudite. He spent a pleasant summer
with my grandmothers examining one hundred translations of
Hamlet's quatrain to Ophelia, 'Doubt thou the stars are fire,'
in languages ranging from Catalan to Icelandic to Serbo-Croatian
to Bulgarian -- all as preparation for an essay in which they
argued that translation inevitably distorts meaning."
Dawidoff traces Gerschenkron's flight from the Bolsheviks
in the Ukraine to Vienna, and from the Nazis to Berkeley,
California, where wrote, translated and worked in the shipyards
for a time. By 1944, he had found his way to the Federal Reserve
Board in Washington D.C., and then, in 1946, as professor
of economic history, to Harvard.
Gerschenkron arrived in Cambridge just as mathematization
was beginning to sweep the profession, emanating from the
department in the institution at the other end of town -- the
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. (He and Paul Samuelson
immediately became fast friends.) He had one big idea, and
he made the most of it: the advantages of backwardness
in economic development.
Thorstein Veblen had said as much in telegraphic form in
1915 in Imperial Germany and the Industrial Revolution: late-adopters could sometimes move out to the
frontiers of development more easily than the pioneers of
the industrial revolution. Gerschenkron now made various forms
of slow economic development his specialty. He himself,
with his late start, having had to learn to work in two new
languages as an adult, exemplified the possibilities. "The
more backward a country," he wrote, "the more complex and
exciting its industrial history."
The great thing about The Fly Swatter -- the title refers to the arsenal of swatters Gerschenkron
kept on the porch of his country home in New Hampshire and
the enthusiasm with which he wielded them, certain "that each
swatter had its own particular entomicidal capabilities" --
is that the author talked to nearly everyone still living
who had known his grandfather, and everyone talked back.
In Dawidoff's book you see whole the career of a great professor in a great university,
not just a handful of insights and a few arguments, but everything
the man lived -- the rivalries (Walt Whitman Rostow his longtime
bte noire), the battles with his critics (Yale's William
Parker said, "The resounding theses of Gerschenkron tell the
size and shape and weave of the stockings the family hangs
out on Christmas eve, but say nothing of when or why Santa
Claus comes down the chimney"), the relationships with his
remarkable students ("he was an armed man; he could hurt you,"
remarked D.N. McCloskey), the continual stream of acts of
familyship, friendship, citizenship.
And now all this glorious humanism is to be passed on, reduced,
by dint of having passed through a metaphorical hourglass,
to an applied economist with a knack for manipulating a handful
of instrumental variables?
Not exactly. But when Dawidoff writes, "Fifty
years after Economic Backwardness in Historical Perspectives
was published, there is no new model, and scholars are still
tilting at [Gershenkron's]," he is mistaken.
Daron Acemoglu's good fortune was to graduate from the University
of York at the very moment that the hourglass of development
economics was at its narrowest, when all the complications
of economic growth had been briefly reduced to an argument
about the causes of "technical change."
Like Gerschenkron, Acemoglu had been raised in a developing
society -- in Istanbul, a Turk of Armenian descent. His father
was a professor of law, later an attorney for banks and corporations.
Political economy and development strategy came naturally
to the dinner table.
But his parents died when Acemoglu was in his teens. Political
science at York disappointed him; he switched to economics
instead. And when MIT admitted him to graduate school but
failed to offer a scholarship, he did his doctorate at the
London School of Economics instead, writing a dissertation
on a variety of labor and macroeconomic topics. A year
later, MIT hired him to teach -- an intriguing but unknown
quantity at whom they wanted a closer look. Four years later
they gave him tenure. He added dual citizenship as well.
The committee that gave the 38-year-old Acemoglu the Clark
medal last week described him as "extremely broad and productive,"
noting that in the course of a dozen years he had made significant
contributions to the study of labor markets before moving
on to "especially innovative" ideas about the role of institutions
in development and political economy.
In fact, it was a series of investigations in the history
of the European colonization of much of the rest of the world,
beginning in the 15th century, that made Acemoglu's reputation,
demonstrating that institutions of various sorts were more
important to development than economists previously had thought.
The "rules of the game" -- the structure of property rights,
the presence of markets, and their various frictions, the
form that governments take -- are key determinants of what
happens next, Acemoglu showed, in some unusually inventive
and convincing ways.
Take the rise of Europe in the first place. The importance
of the Atlantic trade had long been noted, and various reasons
for it advanced. With Simon Johnson of MIT's Sloan School
and James Robinson of the University of California at Berkeley,
Acemoglu argued in "The Rise of Europe: Atlantic Trade, Institutional
Change and Economic Growth" that England and the Netherlands
leapt out front because a newly emergent merchant class benefited
most from trade -- and was able to successfully demand institutions
to protect their property and commerce. In contrast,
although they had been the first to discover the richest lands,
Spain and Portugal stagnated because their monarchies had
managed to capture the early returns, they argued -- and thus
were able to thwart their merchants' drive for power.
In "Economic Backwardness in Political Perspective," Acemoglu
and Robinson argued that political elites can be expected
to pursue "blocking" strategies when innovation threatens
their monopolies and when there is little threat to their
power from politics. External threats reduced the temptation
to block, they found -- producing a model that suggested why
Britain, German and the United States had industrialized during
the 19th century, while the landed aristocracies in Russia
and Austria-Hungary sought to hold back the tide.
In "Reversal of Fortune," Acemoglu, Johnson and Robinson
argued that colonial powers pursued very different strategies
in different lands, with fateful consequences. In rich and
densely populated countries such as Mexico and Peru, they
extracted wealth; in poor and sparsely settled countries such
as British North America and Argentina, they encouraged investment.
And in "The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development"
they inventively teased evidence from differing mortality
rates faced by Europeans in different countries of how the
choices made in those circumstanced gave rise to different
institutions and so to different development paths.
The Clark committee noted that some of the methods and conclusions
were still being debated -- but that a broad and substantial
rethinking of the development process was underway no matter
what. The appearance this summer of Acemoglu's book
with Robinson, The Economic Origins of Dictatorship and
Democracy will stimulate
much further discussion. The MIT course that he teaches with
fellow professor Abhijit Bannerjee on development issues is
routinely oversubscribed. And a long list of projects
underway testifies to his staying power.
Thus Acemoglu joins a short list
of remarkable economists going back to MIT's Paul Samuelson,
to whom the first Clark medal was awarded in 1947. The
most recent winner, Steven Levitt, of the University of Chicago,
recently published, with journalist Stephen Dubner, Freakonomics:
A Rogue Economist Explores the Hidden Side of Everything.
Other medalists who recently have been in the news include
Harvard University president Lawrence Summers, New York Times
columnist and Princeton University economist Paul Krugman,
best-selling author Joseph Stiglitz of Columbia University
and Harvard economists Martin Feldstein and Andrei Shleifer.